Like Countable?

Install the App
TRY NOW

It’s Not Just President Trump Who Thinks Climate Scientists Disagree

by Axios | Updated on 10.23.18

In recent interviews, President Trump falsely claimed that scientists disagree about the causes of global warming. In fact, at least 97% of climate scientists agree that human activities are the dominant cause of global warming since the mid-20th century.

The big picture: President Trump is not the only one who thinks that the main causes of global warming are still being debated. According to polling from George Mason University's Center for Climate Change Communication, even those Americans who say they are concerned about climate change tend to significantly underestimate the strength of the scientific consensus.

The details: In an interview with the AP on Oct. 15, President Trump commented on a recent climate science report from the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The report, released Oct. 8, warned of potentially catastrophic consequences, such as the loss of the entire Greenland Ice Sheet, if warming surpasses 1.5°C, or 2.7°F, above preindustrial levels.

Trump dismissed the findings, saying scientists disagree about the basic conclusion of what is driving global warming:

"I mean, you have scientists on both sides of it. My uncle was a great professor at MIT for many years. Dr. John Trump. And I didn’t talk to him about this particular subject, but I have a natural instinct for science, and I will say that you have scientists on both sides of the picture."

Reality check: Studies show that the period from 1901 to 2016 "is now the warmest in the history of modern civilization," and human emissions of greenhouse gases are to blame.

"For the warming over the last century, there is no convincing alternative explanation supported by the extent of the observational evidence."

U.S. Global Change Research Program Climate Science Special Report, 2017

Yes, but: Like the president, the American public seems to have a poor understanding of just how wide and deep the scientific consensus is on what is causing climate change.

The bottom line: There is evidence showing that when people gain a better understanding of the consensus, they are more likely to support policies to rein in greenhouse gas emissions. George Mason's Ed Maibach, who leads the Center for Climate Change Communication, told Axios that this is known as the "Gateway Belief Model."

"We’ve conducted more than a half dozen research studies — involving more than 10,000 Americans — to answer the question: Does it matter if people know the extent of the consensus among climate scientists about human-caused global warming? The answer is yes, it matters a lot."

Ed Maibach, George Mason University

Maibach added that, as Trump and others question the existence of a consensus among climate experts, they are sowing doubt in the minds of many Americans. "Regrettably, as they spread this misinformation, some members of the public accept this misinformation as true," he told Axios.

Axios

Written by Axios

Follow this Action Center to stay updated on new posts

Leave a comment
(40)
  • Kodiwodi
    10/23/2018
    ···

    I am amazed at how fast this administration has been able to dumb down this country regarding climate change and the environment. I do think though whenever there is a choice to be made between altruism and greed, most people will choose greed. It takes very special people to do what’s best for others and the world. I fear there may not be enough left.

    Like (23)
    Follow
    Share
  • Cndrla
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Look republicans don’t want you to have affordable healthcare. Republicans don’t want you to have a livable wage. Republicans don’t want you to have marijuana. Republicans don’t want you to have access to affordable education Republicans don’t want you to breathe clean air, drink clean water, Republicans protect polluters who are poisoning and killing the worlds bees. Spoiler alert no bees to pollinate no food or beer. So if you want any of the above get off your ass grab a friend or a loved one and Please vote in the midterms....humanity needs you!

    Like (22)
    Follow
    Share
  • ConservativeGuy
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Climate scientists don’t exist. Look it up.

    Like (20)
    Follow
    Share
  • Marc
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Wake up jack, this is not a game, it’s our earth. Do everything that is recommended to slow the temperature increase that is being discussed.

    Like (13)
    Follow
    Share
  • Tooluser1
    10/22/2018
    ···

    Um, no. Your 97% figure has been *repeatedly* disproven. But good job reporting partisan lies as fact...

    Like (10)
    Follow
    Share
  • Richard
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Well, trump, I had an uncle who played jazz guitar—but that doesn’t give me a “natural instinct” to know all about jazz music! Such an idiotic argument to make by someone who has no right whatsoever to have the fate of Mother Earth in his hands! Poor Mother Earth yet violated by a famous man who can grab whomever by the p***y.

    Like (8)
    Follow
    Share
  • Hillary
    10/23/2018
    ···

    If we do everything possible to mitigate human contribution to climate change and it turns out to have not been necessary what are we out? We still have cleaner air and water and soil! However, if it turns out we have done nothing to mitigate human impact on climate and we find that impact really was real then at that point we are just f#*ked. Why not take the steps we need when we have nothing to lose and everything to gain?

    Like (8)
    Follow
    Share
  • Maribelezm
    10/23/2018
    ···

    If you for a second don’t think the government has anything to do with pollution and all over chaos and separation, you are a fool. Stand for what’s right, what type of world do you really want your children or grandchildren to grow up in? Everything is getting out of hand now, we have so much corruption and misrepresentation in this country that it’s insane on how under the radar it all is. Time to open your eyes to the real world because once you can’t eat your favorite foods or go on a nice vacation in the slopes because they’re non existent, it will be too late.

    Like (6)
    Follow
    Share
  • Doug
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Warming trends and cooling trends have happened throughout the history of the earth ,this particular warming trend happens to coincide with human activity during our lifetimes so some scientist have (observed) speculated human activity is causing this particular warming trend but the annual increase and decrease of ice sheets does not coincide with human activity and what is worse is that temperatures on reports have been falsified for financial and political purposes to manipulate and control US and other populations around the earth for political and financial gain, Everyone wants clean air and water but this is a classic ploy you can read about it in the book the prince.

    Like (6)
    Follow
    Share
  • mnlauren
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Please continue to support measures to reduce humans’ footprint on the earth. Unless someone has a spare planet that I’m not aware of, we should take care of the earth that we have. It’s just common sense

    Like (5)
    Follow
    Share
  • John
    10/23/2018
    ···

    45 is too stupid and egotistical to know what he doesn’t know. We need to enforce strict programs to lessen human caused climate change.

    Like (5)
    Follow
    Share
  • David
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Actually, the so called 97% claim has been debunked: 97% Study Falsely Classifies Scientists' Papers, according to the scientists that published them http://www.populartechnology.net/2013/05/97-study-falsely-classifies-scientists.html#Update2  Global Warming Alarmists Caught Doctoring '97-Percent Consensus' Claims http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/05/30/global-warming-alarmists-caught-doctoring-97-percent-consensus-claims/  Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer: The Myth of the Climate Change '97%' - WSJ http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303480304579578462813553136  That 97% Solution, Again | The SPPI Blog http://sppiblog.org/news/that-97-solution-again#more-3881 

    Like (4)
    Follow
    Share
  • Scott
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Fact is the government was only given out grants two people are scientist to favored global warming so if you wanted a grant from the government that’s the way you had to go and they falsified mini records and many scientist lied so they could get money to live think about it come on y’all wake up if you were on the opposite side you didn’t get a grant

    Like (4)
    Follow
    Share
  • Leon
    10/23/2018
    ···

    What blows my mind is that we are polluting at a much bigger rate and impact but we’re worried about temperatures that may or may not mean anything. Work on the problem that is affecting the most - clean water.

    Like (4)
    Follow
    Share
  • CV18
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Please stop denying the existence of climate change. Just, stop. The data is there. It’s a thing. It’s well documented by NASA, others, and international institutions. If we continue to pretend it’s no big deal, we are going to be the cause of our own extinction. Think about it. Support policies to protect the environment.

    Like (4)
    Follow
    Share
  • Scott
    10/23/2018
    ···

    The earth goes through cycles the sun goes through cycles the sun determine the weather on our planet global warming cannot be proven with the grand solar minimum happening every 206 years or so they earth will inevitably go into a Nother small Ice Age Mans affect on the earth is minuscule at best it at this time yes there is been warming but now with our own magneto Paul’s are our protection from the sun in the solar wind no longer having the power that it had radiation is our Enemy you need to start worrying about that and not whether the C level is going to rise or not wake up look into science look into all aspects of the science before you start mouthing off like a bunch of dumbasses

    Like (4)
    Follow
    Share
  • Dave
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Narcissists lack empathy, they usually don’t work hard. Realize that narcissism is an identity, just like religion or politics. Narcissists are among the most vindictive people you’ll ever meet. Burst their narcissistic bubble and you will pay. Reject them and they’ll freak out. Act weak and they’ll try to victimize you. Expose them and they’ll hate you. Don’t expect fairness. They’re just about themselves. Never extend credit to, or accept promises from, a narcissist. Narcissists might become leaders but they’re not good ones. In the long run, narcissists almost always lose and looser. Stay away if you can, otherwise you will be victimized. Does this sound like someone you know?

    Like (3)
    Follow
    Share
  • DEGUp
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Science is about doubt. A healthy skepticism about global warming is, by definition, scientific. The oft reported 97% figure is misleading and irrelevant. Every innovation starts with 0% consensus. Even consensus isn’t relevant. At one point, we were all convinced that the sun revolved around the earth.

    Like (3)
    Follow
    Share
  • Kameron
    10/23/2018
    ···

    This is the highest priority you should be working in right now. It is the most disastrous threat to our national interests. It will take men and women of tremendous courage and political will to do what most be done if organizer human life is to survive. Let us know if you are one of those people. Or if you need to find someone else.

    Like (3)
    Follow
    Share
  • Brian
    10/23/2018
    ···

    Impeach!

    Like (2)
    Follow
    Share